Increasing species

NOTE: Species accounts are no longer included within the BirdTrends report and all links to individual species in this BirdTrends report now point to the relevant species page in BirdFacts. Species trends can now be viewed in the "Trends Explorer" which allows you to view a range of temporal trends for each species.

Population changes of species for which our best long-term trend estimate from CBC/BBS (usually over 53 years) or from WBS/WBBS (a maximum of 45 years) shows an increase of more than 50% are shown in Table C1. There are 27 species listed. Twenty-one of the species have more than doubled their population size over the periods in which they have been monitored (27–53 years).

Table C1 Long-term population increases of greater than 50% from CBC/BBS (1967-2020) or WBS/WBBS (1975-2020), using the best survey for each species

Species Period
(yrs)
Source Change
(%)
Lower
limit
Upper
limit
Alert Comment
Buzzard 53 CBC/BBS England 838 531 2760    
Greylag Goose 27 WBS/WBBS waterways 542 215 1467    
Great Spotted Woodpecker 53 CBC/BBS UK 403 242 650    
Blackcap 53 CBC/BBS UK 373 296 479    
Nuthatch 53 CBC/BBS UK 299 195 461    
Mute Swan 53 CBC/BBS UK 277 67 682    
Stock Dove 53 CBC/BBS England 253 . .    
Collared Dove 48 CBC/BBS UK 229 137 419    
Woodpigeon 53 CBC/BBS UK 153 28 471    
Mallard 53 CBC/BBS UK 150 88 208    
Jackdaw 53 CBC/BBS UK 146 67 301    
Canada Goose 39 WBS/WBBS waterways 143 35 561    
Goosander 39 WBS/WBBS waterways 139 33 339    
Goldfinch 53 CBC/BBS England 136 72 209    
Green Woodpecker 53 CBC/BBS England 133 76 229    
Carrion Crow 53 CBC/BBS England 130 89 181    
Chiffchaff 53 CBC/BBS UK 113 75 161    
Coot 53 CBC/BBS UK 108 47 482    
Pheasant 53 CBC/BBS England 106 66 181    
Reed Warbler 53 CBC/BBS UK 105 28 369    
Magpie 53 CBC/BBS UK 100 62 165    
Wren 53 CBC/BBS UK 94 73 119    
Long-tailed Tit 53 CBC/BBS England 93 42 190    
Great Tit 53 CBC/BBS UK 93 72 112    
Sparrowhawk 45 CBC/BBS England 77 8 186    
Sand Martin 42 WBS/WBBS waterways 70 -1 229    
Coal Tit 53 CBC/BBS UK 57 -9 146    

Table C1 is led by Buzzard, by a wide margin, but it should be noted that nine of the fastest-increasing species in this report are actually not included here, because their monitoring data cover too short a period and are based on data from the BTO/JNCC/RSPB Breeding Bird Survey only (rather than combined CBC/BBS or WBS/WBBS data). The UK's non-native population of Ring-necked Parakeets is estimated to have risen by 1,935% over the 25 years 1995–2020.

Arguably, however, this is more a conservation problem than a success! Mandarin Duck (+621% over 1995-2020) and Egyptian Goose (+1,198%) are two other fast-increasing non-native species. Undoubted success stories are the growth during 1995–2020, estimated through BBS, of Little Egret, which has increased by more than 20-fold, the re-introduced Red Kite (+1,935%), Cetti's Warbler (+494%), Gadwall (+234%) and Barn Owl (+228%).

The headline trend for the Cetti's Warbler, a recently established native species, comes from CES rather than BBS with CES estimating a higher increase than BBS (620% during 1992–2020), even though the trajectory has been moderated by recent cold-weather-related setbacks. An eighth species, Stonechat, is also not included in the table but has also more than doubled its population over the period 1995–2020 (+147%).

Four groups stand out among the increasing species: corvids – especially Carrion Crow, Magpie and Jackdaw; doves – Collared Dove, Stock Dove and Woodpigeon; woodpeckers and other smaller species of woodland and gardens; and some waterbirds. Corvids appear to have benefited from changed gamebird management practices in recent years, and the larger doves from the increased acreage of brassica crops (particularly oilseed rape).

The majority of the third group are species primarily of woodland that are also common in gardens in some areas: Great Spotted Woodpecker, Green Woodpecker, Nuthatch, Blackcap, Wren, Great TitCoal Tit and Long-tailed Tit. The reasons for these increases are presently unclear but may, in many cases, relate to improved feeding opportunities in gardens.

Reed Warbler, an insectivore, has been expanding its range northwards and westwards and might be benefiting from climate change (Eglington et al. 2015). Declines on CES plots suggest the benefits might not be universal, with the habitat quality in 'core' sites possibly decreasing, while warming climates facilitate the colonisation of new sites.

A number of species associated with freshwater habitats are becoming more abundant, although differences between their ecological requirements make it unlikely that there is a single causal factor common to all. For Mallard, the CBC/BBS increase was matched by a WBS/WBBS increase of 165% over 45 years.

The long-term increases recorded for Mute Swan on both CBC/BBS and WBS/WBBS plots are likely to be the result, at least in part, of banning the use of lead weights by anglers, which took effect in 1986. Greylag Goose, Canada Goose, Goosander and Coot are other wildfowl among this report's increasing species.

Two widespread raptors have shown remarkable recoveries from low population levels after the banning of certain poisonous farmland pesticides in the early 1960s, assisted by lower levels of illegal predator control. Buzzards increased in England by 838% between 1967 and 2020.

Sparrowhawks, too scarce for CBC to monitor until the mid 1970s, show a 77% increase over the 45-year period from 1975 to 2020. However, their recovery appears to have been completed earlier than Buzzard's, and the population is now in moderate decline (for unknown reasons), prompting a lower level alert to be raised over the 25-year period (see Latest long-term alerts).

While Pheasant holds a place in this table, its increase in census data has been driven largely by increasing, but poorly quantified, scale of releases of artificially reared poults for shooting. Corvids, and other generalist predators, may also have benefited, exploiting both through the food provided for poults and the high mortality of poults, resulting in an abundant level of carcasses.

 

This report should be cited as: Massimino, D., Woodward, I.D., Hammond, M.J., Barber, L., Barimore, C., Harris, S.J., Leech, D.I., Noble, D.G., Walker, R.H., Baillie, S.R. & Robinson, R.A. (2020) BirdTrends 2020: trends in numbers, breeding success and survival for UK breeding birds. BTO Research Report 732. BTO, Thetford. www.bto.org/birdtrends